Saturday morning update:
The forecasted wind aloft is developing into a more of an issue in the later model runs. The lapse rate does look better for Sunday compared to Saturday, but there is also more wind aloft on Sunday. We may have some protection from the wind below ridgeline due to the sharp inversion, and the soaring may be ok at the lower altitudes. Ojai's lapse rate for Sunday does look strong up to about 7K, and the sharp inversion might offer some protection from the stronger winds up higher, but the potential for wind is too much for me to risk investing a day, so I'll likely pass this weekend.
There is potential for ok flights down lower in SB, and dynamic flights at higher altitudes in Ojai, but there is also the potential to get skunked in Ojai. Flying from the lower launches in SB might be a more conservative option, and of course, there is the coast, but Bates is fickle and there isn't nearly as much wind below the sharp inversion.
________________________
Friday Noon look at Sunday
Sunday looks like the better day, but there is a sharp inversion starting about 6 or 7K in Ojai and much lower in Santa Barbara. Wind is from the west in SB, but from the East in Ojai. Would probably recommend launching from Ojai because the lift looks stronger and the altitude looks significantly better. Plan on flying west initially, but turning around when you encounter west wind either over Casitas Pass or west of Casitas Pass. Not sure if anyone has a permit. You might want to check with Chris Grantham at Fly Above All, or you can a reserve at permit with the Forrest Service up to about 3:30ish today. I think they are open till 4:30, but they don’t like last minute calls of Friday afternoons. They are closed on Saturdays. SB looks good down lower, but the lapse rate flattens out above 3500. If you launch from SB and are able to get to the power lines, expect the altitude to get better at Noon Peak and you can probably make it over Casitas Pass.