Link to Tom's flight log for Sunday
Skyport to Painted Cave to Top Land at Chiefs Launch to Fillmore
http://paraglide.net/log/13/13_11-24/1_skyport_painted_cave_fillmore.htm
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Sunday morning update: Calm at the Peak, Montecito, Ojai, and mid channel, so we don't need to wait for it to block. Recommend an early go, but I can't get to Parma before 9. Both the Eagle Van and the Fly Above All Vans are meeting at 9:30. EJ Bowl should be launchable, but the lapse rate is good down low (but not quite as good Saturday), so no need to launch high. Expect some early OD, and hopefully lifting and clearing in the afternoon. Still expecting lower level flow from the west in the afternoon. It is still draining offshore down the Santa Clara River and light offshore across all the buoys, but not as strong as Saturday. We may run into some east wind probing the east end of the course toward Santa Paula Ridge. A little warmer at altitude than Saturday, and a little flow from the north up at 6K.
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Saturday night guesstimate for Sunday.
The day has the potential to be better than Saturday. I'd recommend an early start, but it may work good in the afternoon also. I'll likely be at Parma by 9ish and expect to be airborne by 10. It will likely be soarable by 9:30 down lower, but we may need to let the overnight north wind block up higher.
As the center of a tightly spinning low moves east from the southern tip of Nevada, the flow should have less east and more north. The air mass should continue to dry, so hopefully will get more sun. The air mass is still cold post frontal, so expect possible over development early, but possibly lifting and more sun in the afternoon. With flow from the north, we continue to have the possibility of overdevelopment in the backcountry pushing out front, which may result in several iterations of OD followed by clearing and successive rounds of OD. In SB, expect the lower level afternoon wind to be from the west, north above the ridge, and higher up from the NNE, with more of an east component further east. Expect we should be able to plug eastbound if cloudbase permits, but don't expect a tailwind at altitude. We may run into east wind at altitude if we reach the far side of Ojai.