Link to Sunday’s Summary and flight articles
http://paraglide.net/log/12/12_11-11/2_summary.htm
Bi-Directional
Pilots crossed Casitas Pass both directions.
HGs flew from the Eliminator to at least Divide Peak
(not sure if they turned around or continued on into Ojai)
PGs flew from the Nuthouse to East Beach
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8 am update
The wind backed down substantially after dawn at both the La Cumbre Peak and Montecito. Don Taber’s balloon graphic indicates a robust lapse rate with less inversion than expected, so it may be soarable by 10ish. I need to play parent on Monday because my kids don’t have school, so today looks like my only weekend option. I’m game to go either direction (Ojai or SB), but would prefer not to hike the Nuthouse if a truck is bussing up.
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Sunday Morning Dawn Perception
Expect the wind to back down to manageable levels today and more so on Monday as the gear mesh between the high and low continues to move further east away from our zone along with the jet stream. Santa Anna winds are forecast to develop with flow spilling off the high desert through the drain paths later today, but don’t currently see the offshore drain in dawn observations. The models indicate the event may be more gradient driven than drain driven, so there will likely be some lingering NE wind in the mountains, increasing with altitude, more so today than tomorrow.
The lapse rate looks healthy with a temperature spread in the high 20s F between the surface and 6K both today and Monday.
Launching in Ojai from Nordhoff may offer the best option to run with a quartering tail wind, but expect SB to work good also. With frost warnings in Ojai we will likely need the inversion to break. Expect the morning inversion to be stronger on Monday but more left over wind at altitude today, so don’t expect to launch too early either day.
If Monday qualifies as a weekend and you can only fly one day, you might want to wait, but if you aren’t a banker or don’t have kids, then both days look fun.
I’ll update a bit later after the balloon data is available.